Quem sofre mais com a violência de al-Qua’ida?

The Asian Studies WWW Monitor:  Dec 2009, Vol. 16, No. 15 (305)
08 Dec 2009

Deadly Vanguards: A [2009] Study of al-Qa’ida’s Violence Against Muslims

The Combating Terrorism Center (CTC), U.S. Military Academy, West
Point, NY, US.

“Combating Terrorism Center at West Point Occasional Paper Series.
Deadly Vanguards: A Study of al-Qa’ida’s Violence Against Muslims.
December 2009.
Scott Helfstein, Ph.D. Nassir Abdullah Muhammad al-Obaidi

[…] Since the inception of al-Qa’ida, the organization has claimed
to represent Muslim interests around the world declaring itself the
vanguard of true Islam, and the defender of Muslim people.
Unfortunately for al-Qa’ida, their actions speak louder than their
words. The fact is that the vast majority of al-Qa’ida’s victims are
Muslims: the analysis here shows that only 15% of the fatalities
resulting from al-Qa’ida attacks between 2004 and 2008 were
This report [850KB, PDF format – ed.] used Arabic media sources to
study the victim’s of al-Qa’ida’s violence through a non-Western
prism. This allows researchers to avoid accusations of bias
associated with Western news outlets or U.S.-based datasets. […]
All of the sources used in this exercise are available as an appendix
to this report to ensure that other researchers can reproduce these

The results show that non-Westerners are much more likely to be
killed in an al-Qa’ida attack. From 2004 to 2008, only 15% percent of
the 3,010 victims were Western. During the most recent period studied
the numbers skew even further. From 2006 to 2008, only 2% (12 of 661
victims) are from the West, and the remaining 98% are inhabitants of
countries with Muslim majorities. During this period, a person of
non-Western origin was 54 times more likely to die in an al-Qa’ida
attack than an individual from the West. […] Irrespective of
statements made by [al-Qa’ida’s second in command Ayman] Zawahiri and
others, the figures, drawn from exclusively Arabic news sources, show
that the Muslims they claim to protect are much more likely to be the
targets of al-Qa’ida violence than the Western powers they claim to

Site contents:
* [Introduction];
* Methodology: Arabic Primary Source Material;
* Analytics: The Real Victims (Figure 1: Casualties, Annual Figure 2:
Casualty Percentage, Annual Figure 3: Casualties, Monthly Figure 4:
Casualties, By Country (Excluding Iraq) Figure 5: Casualties,
Excluding Afghanistan and Iraq, Annual Figure 6: Number of Attacks by
Fatality Figure 7: Casualties 1995-2003, Including and Excluding the
9/11 Attack);
* Conclusions;
Appendix: Data Tables (Attacks and Casualty Sources, Arabic,
2004-2008, Attacks and Casualty Sources, English, 2004-2008, Major
al-Qa’ida Attacks and Casualty Sources, Arabic, 1995-2003, Major
al-Qa’ida Attacks and Casualty Sources, English, 1995-2003).

[Other recent CTC [http://www.ctc.usma.edu/] Publications include:
#Radical Islamic Ideology in Southeast Asia; #”Embattled in Arabia:
Shiis and the Politics of Confrontation in Saudi Arabia” by Toby
Jones; #Militant Ideology Atlas; #Stealing al-Qa’ida’s Playbook;
#Dysfunction and Decline: Lessons Learned From Inside al-Qa’ida in
Iraq; #The CTC Sentinel: Cutting Edge Research; #CTC Report on
Terrorism, Deterrence, and Nuclear Weapons; #The Globalization of
Martyrdom; #Iranian Influence in Iraq: Politics and “Other Means”;
#Bombers, Bank Accounts, and Bleedout: al-Qa’ida’s Road in and Out of
Iraq; #Sunni and Shi’a: Differences That Matter. A handy overview of
the Helfstein, Abdullah & al-Obaidi paper is provided by a 12/03/2009
Yassin Musharbash’ article in Spiegel Online International
entitled: ‘Surprising Study On Terrorism – Al-Qaida Kills Eight Times
More Muslims Than Non-Muslims’ – ed.]

URL http://www.ctc.usma.edu/Deadly%20Vanguards_Complete_L.pdf


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